What's next?, next war Romanians could be part of

The dog is not dead and no one seems to be "hitting a dead dog" anyway. If you want to keep up the "dog analogy", in as far as I can see some people are pointing out that the dog is very much alive (quite lively too ) but it also has fleas, dog-breath and needs a shampoo. If you fix those things, this can be a watch-dog. Right now, it just comes across as a mangy mongrel.
Radu

Military agreement between Romania and Moldova

http://www.nineoclock.ro/romanian-moldovan...tion-agreement/

Again about Mr. Negrea's novel reactions

http://www.nit.md/index_md.php?action=news&id=6319

http://cristiannegrea.blogspot.com/2012/05...ui-rogozin.html

A new Russia-US geopolitical confrontation:

http://ziar.jurnal.md/2012/05/25/ne-asteap...rtala-cu-rusia/

http://ro.stiri.yahoo.com/politolog-la-tir...-160345437.html
For the nonconnoisseurs of the military conflict in 1992, the war between the regular Moldovan Army troops, police and volunteers and the insurgent pro russian forces, including the so-called Transnistrian Republican Guard, militia and Cossack units, and also units of the Russian 14th army peaked in june 1992 with the battle of Tighina (russian name Bendery).
I'll post some less known military elements:
-the moldovan forces (Army troops) : 3 infantry battalions (~18 MT-LBT light-armoured vehicles, 27 BTR-60PB/-70 APCs) with only one battalion guarding the bridge over Dniestr river, supported by 6 2A29 (MT-12) Rapira anti-tank guns, 9 9P148 "Konkurs" and other 9 9P149 "Shturm-S" ATGM launcher vehicles. Army units reinforced by around 300 moldovan police and volunteers form the Tighina Police station and later by other ~150 special police servicemen.
-the insurgent forces: 1 transdniestrian republican guard battalion (identified 3 BRDM-2 amphibious armoured patrol cars, 11 BTR-60PB/-70 APCs, 5 MT-LBT light-armoured vehicles, 5 BMP-1P IFVs), 1 militia battalion (territorial troops) in the first two days of fighting! Later 1 tank company (11 T-64BV tanks) and 2 motorized infantry companies (7 MT-LBT light-armoured vehicles, 11 BTR-60PB/-70 APCs identified) enter the city in in the evening of the 20 june when the moldovan defence was breached. Another light company enter the city in 21 june in support of troops who were in combat, along with 9 T-64BV tanks, 8 BMP-2 IFVs, 10 2S1 Gvozdika SP howitzers probably belonging to the 14th Army.
But the massive forces arrive in the afternoon of the 22 june - 2 motorized infantry battalions (around 40 BTR-70/-80 APCs, some MT-LBT vehicles too), 1 light anti-aircraft artillery battalion (12 ZU-23-2 (2A13) anti-aircraft twin-barreled autocannon mounted on MT-LBT vehicles identified), 3 Cossacks companies mixed with national guard volunteers, that push slowly the moldovan forces out of the town. Until 24 June the insurgent forces helped by the russian army have reoccupied most of the city. I can not guarantee total authenticity of the data, but I can say that they provide a true picture of reality! The data are collected by me.

On a somewhat related note, US President Obama was caught on an open microphone a month or two ago privately telling Russian Prime Minister Medvedev that after the upcoming US presidential elections (which will take place in November of this year), he'll have more room to maneuver in his dealings with Russia.


Make of that what you will.

I do not think Mr. Obama will be re-elected.
So Mr. Medvedev will have to deal with different people.

When the US president has to leave, the new administration takes power next February. Between the November elections and the following February, the president cannot do too much. The American terminology for this period is "lame duck administration" or "lame duck president".
Of course, if the president remains the same, there is no "lame duck" period.
A leaving American president can do something until the last day... pardons and forgiveness for individuals with law related problems. You know... Emil Constantinescu style. Bill Clinton was a classic.

This post has been edited by Florin on June 22, 2012 01:46 am

25 years ago that would have been the end for the American president. Not today. Even the worse and rabbid anti-Obama part of the media ignored that. In America it made a small headline on page 15. The world has changed. America and Russia are closer than ever before. Would anyone even contemplate the idea of NASA using Russian rockets 25 years ago? That was unthinkable then! Not today! In America, China is the world power they worry about the most, not Russia. The four emerging economic powers are Brazil, Russia, India and China (the so-called BRIC). In America people are worried that an economic shift in favour of those countries will cause job losses at home. So (despite Mr. Negrea's apocalyptic utterances) no one wants to go to war with any of thes countries. In fact, America is eager to do business with these countries. These are huge markets for American products. So, Obama telling Medvedev "we'll do business" is seen as a good thing in America.
Radu

This post has been edited by Radub on June 22, 2012 08:19 am

I do not think Mr. Obama will be re-elected.
So Mr. Medvedev will have to deal with different people.

When the US president has to leave, the new administration takes power next February. Between the November elections and the following February, the president cannot do too much. The American terminology for this period is "lame duck administration" or "lame duck president".
Of course, if the president remains the same, there is no "lame duck" period.
A leaving American president can do something until the last day... pardons and forgiveness for individuals with law related problems. You know... Emil Constantinescu style. Bill Clinton was a classic.

Inauguration Day is in January, actually. The 20th, iirc. Then the new president usually has roughly 100 days (the "honeymoon" period) to get stuff through the legislative houses before the opposition starts to come together.

As for pardons... that's traditional. A US president is expected to issue a flurry of pardons during his last few days in office. President Clinton got attention because of the exact circumstances of a handful of the pardons that he issued.

The idea would have been refused 25 years ago more for national pride than anything else. The fact that NASA currently doesn't have its own lift capability right now is, in some circles, considered a national disgrace. And I'm sure that the Russians don't mind the prestige that acrues when the mighty United States comes to them asking for help getting things into orbit.

As for President Obama's overheard comment to Medvedev, the suspicion amongst those who are aware of it is that Obama was talking about more political offers along the lines of when the US abandoned the anti-missile sites that were going to be installed in Eastern Europe. That decision was famously announced to the Poles (who were originally supposed to host one of the anti-missile sites) on the anniversary of the 1939 Soviet invasion of Poland.


In any event, as noted there will be an election here in the US on the first Tuesday in November. And as a result of that election, the guy occupying the president's office at the end of January might be Mr. Romney instead of Mr. Obama.

25 years ago, the idea of the American president and the Russian president sitting down just by themselves (without bodyguards or analysts to decypher and interpret every word and tone) was simply unthinkable!
The world has moved on. Russia and America are now friends. That is not something unusual. America used to call Germany or Japan "enemies" and now they are friends.
Some Romanians need to do the same.
Radu

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p3lOzG1AQEs&feature=related

Here is an actual film made during fight in Transnistria. At minute 1:53 the russian tank is shot from behind by an RPG which fails to hit the target and explodes just behind the armored vehicle. Then the tank stops near a dead and burn russian tank (quite courageous I would say, giving that the tank hunter might be still around...and the tank had no infantry suport)

Thanks for the link, 21inf!
I had the curiosity to follow over this armed conflict (I read and watched but I also I talked to a few veterans) so I dare saying that Moldova could not win militarily that war, the military, political, economic and media involvement of Russia (and even Ukraine) leaves no real chance to the defenders of Moldova, but dilettantism and betrayal have reduced even more the chances for a more favorable peace for Moldova... Sure that Moldova inherited some heavy weapons from the ex-Soviet Army but had no enough power to oppose to an experienced army, much better equipped and trained!

http://jurnal.md/ro/news/securitatea-contr...-bogatu-221513/

http://bogatu.voceabasarabiei.net/?p=2057